Abdulla Rawand D., ENTROPY-REGULARIZED GEOCHEMICAL ALLOCATION: AN INFORMATION-THEORETIC FRAMEWORK FOR APPORTIONING COMMINGLED PETROLEUM FROM WHOLE-OIL FINGERPRINTS

https://doi.org/10.15407/mineraljournal.48.03.062

UDC 550.84:553.98

Abdulla Rawand D., PhD

E-mail: rawand.abdulla@epu.edu.iq; orcid: 0009-0006-9662-0942

Department of Petroleum Technology, Koya Technical Institute,

Erbil Polytechnic University, Erbil, Iraq

ENTROPY-REGULARIZED GEOCHEMICAL ALLOCATION:

AN INFORMATION-THEORETIC FRAMEWORK FOR APPORTIONING

COMMINGLED PETROLEUM FROM WHOLE-OIL FINGERPRINTS

Language: English

Mineralogical journal 2026, 48 (3): 62-71

Abstract: Allocating commingled petroleum production to its contributing reservoir zones is a core task of oil-field geochemistry, yet conventional fingerprinting relies on a few hand-picked peak ratios and ordinary least-squares unmixing that becomes unstable when zone oils are geochemically similar (collinear) and analytically noisy. We introduce Entropy-Regularized Geochemical Allocation (ERGA), an information-theoretic framework that treats the entire whole-oil gas-chromatographic trace as a probability distribution. ERGA couples a variance-weighted, simplex-constrained data term with a maximum-entropy prior on the allocation vector, and derives a Jensen-Shannon residual-divergence statistic that tests whether an unmodelled (missing) end-member contributes to the mixture. The method was evaluated against ordinary non-negative least squares (NNLS) in a reproducible Monte-Carlo simulation (synthetic three-zone libraries spanning condition numbers from 9 to 83; 400 realizations per noise level). For well-resolved zones ERGA reduced allocation error by about 1.5—1.6× at all noise levels. For realistically collinear zones it lowered the root-mean-square error from 12.6 to 8.5 percentage points at 7 % noise (R² 0.63 → 0.79), the gain increasing with noise once the inversion is ill-posed. The detection statistic flagged a hidden zone with ≥80 % power once it exceeded about 12 % of production, at a 5 % false-positive rate. ERGA provides a principled, uncertainty-aware and self-diagnosing route to dynamic production allocation, transferable to reservoir surveillance and environmental source apportionment.

Keywords: petroleum geochemistry, production allocation, geochemical fingerprinting, maximum entropy, information theory, commingled oil, gas chromatography.

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